Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Libertadores de América

Independiente
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Benegas (52'), Fernandez (57' pen.)
Vigo (37')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (82')
Rodriguez (30'), Spetale (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

Last Six:

Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Racing Club	14	15	30
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26

We said: Independiente 0-1 Estudiantes

Estudiantes seem to have found the right balance to be successful this season, and their tight defensive setup might be challenging for Independiente to break down, while El Leon make the majority of their opportunities count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Estudiantes
50.92% ( -0.91)	25.81% ( 0.22)	23.27% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.73% (

-0.18)

55.27% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

-0.15)

76.5% (

0.15)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.46)

21.75% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

-0.71)

54.94% (

0.71)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.94% (

0.57)

39.06% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.22% (

0.53)

75.78% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Independiente 50.92%

Estudiantes 23.27%

Draw 25.81%

Independiente	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.92%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.27%