MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 01:53:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 20
Jun 10, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Sarmiento

Independiente
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Gimenez Rojas (38', 52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez Rojas (79'), Toledo (85')
Mainero (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Independiente
Sunday, June 4 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Newell's OB
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Sarmiento

 Given that 12 of Sarmiento's last 13 matches have produced fewer than three goals, Friday's clash looks destined to be a low-scoring affair, especially when you consider that Damonte's men have not conceded a goal in five outings. Accordingly, we expect the visitors to notch a clean-sheet victory at the Estadio Libertadores de America, extending their unbeaten streak to seven games while heaping more misery on Independiente. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.4%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
45.39% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 31.16% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 23.46% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.25% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)87.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)31.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)68.41% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)83.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.38%
    Sarmiento 23.46%
    Draw 31.15%
IndependienteDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.57%
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 45.38%
0-0 @ 15.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-1 @ 12.82%
2-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 31.15%
0-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Independiente vs Sarmiento

Independiente
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sarmiento
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 9pm
gameweek 19
Sarmiento
1-2
Independiente
Femia (49')
Fernandez (75', 77')
Oct 21, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Sarmiento
Romero (6')
Velasco (43')
Gondou (32')
Bravo (41'), Montoya (71')
Mar 16, 2021 12.30am
First Phase
Independiente
6-0
Sarmiento

Alanis (29'), Torres (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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