Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 18
May 28, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente1 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Independiente
Friday, May 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, May 19 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Lanus |
41.34% ( -0.05) | 29.23% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 43% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.48% ( 0.05) | 63.52% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.16% ( 0.04) | 82.84% ( -0.03) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% ( -0) | 30.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% ( -0.01) | 66.47% ( 0.01) |
Lanus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% ( 0.07) | 38.32% ( -0.07) |