MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 07:06:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 9, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
0 - 1
Tigre


Cerato (39'), Rodriguez (48'), Alarcon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Retegui (24')
Garay (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Instituto
Thursday, July 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Tigre 1-2 Banfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Instituto 1-0 Tigre

We have seen a lot more urgency from Instituto since Dabove took charge, and we believe that, along with their improved defensive shape, will propel them to a narrow victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawTigre
38.88% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 29.45% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 31.67% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)63.65% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.06% (0.026 0.03)82.94% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (0.023 0.02)68.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.031999999999996 0.03)36.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.030999999999999 0.03)73.46% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 38.87%
    Tigre 31.67%
    Draw 29.44%
InstitutoDrawTigre
1-0 @ 13.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 38.87%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.44%
0-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 31.67%

How you voted: Instituto vs Tigre

Instituto
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Tigre
0.0%
8
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2TalleresTalleres168622316730
3HuracanHuracan16772168828
4UnionUnion167631813527
5Atletico TucumanTucuman167541716126
6Racing ClubRacing167452114725
7Instituto167452114725
8River PlateRiver Plate166642012824
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia166551614223
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Platense165561415-120
15LanusLanus164841822-420
16Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
18Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs165471116-519
19Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
20IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
21Sarmiento164661215-318
22San Lorenzo154561314-117
23TigreTigre154561820-217
24BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411


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