Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 2, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Instituto1 - 0Belgrano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Instituto
Thursday, June 22 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Thursday, June 22 at 11.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 3-1 Banfield
Tuesday, June 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, June 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Instituto 1-1 Belgrano
Although Belgrano are 12 points better off than their opponents, they have lost their last four away games, and as a result, we think the visitors will settle for a draw in Sunday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 43.7%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Instituto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Belgrano |
43.7% ( -0.04) | 29.4% ( 0.04) | 26.9% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.34% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
