Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.