MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 21:45:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensa y Justicia
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 2, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
1 - 0
Tigre

Fernandez (46')
Malatini (63'), Cardona (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Forclaz (83'), Cardozo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Defensa y Justicia 2-1 Tigre

Defensa's impressive home record of late makes them big favourites to come out on top here and while we expect anything but a straightforward affair, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTigre
42.48% (0.531 0.53) 27.61% (-0.212 -0.21) 29.9% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.46 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.09% (0.647 0.65)57.9% (-0.65 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (0.508 0.51)78.61% (-0.50999999999999 -0.51)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.58800000000001 0.59)26.94% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72% (0.76600000000001 0.77)62.28% (-0.769 -0.77)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11% (0.10299999999999 0.1)34.89% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37% (0.108 0.11)71.62% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 42.47%
    Tigre 29.9%
    Draw 27.61%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawTigre
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.47%
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.235 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 29.9%

How you voted: Defensa vs Tigre

Defensa y Justicia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Tigre
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
0-0
Tigre
Rios (64'), Gutierrez (70'), Colombo (80')
Cabrera (77')
Nov 26, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 13
Defensa
2-1
Tigre
Rojas (5'), Fernandez (81')
Montillo (53')
Gonzalez (32'), Moiraghi (63'), Luna (93')
Canuto (68'), Prediger (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
26Sarmiento153661115-415
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411


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