MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:16:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 5, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
3 - 2
Tigre

Salvio (56', 69'), Bou (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carrera (38' og.), Monzon (73')
Leizza (30'), Monzon (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-0 Lanus
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Deportivo Riestra
Monday, July 29 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-0 Tigre

Tigre have found a new level of performance in recent weeks, as it seems they have suddenly realised that their season is on the line. However, Lanus have been impressive at home this season and historically dominate this fixture on their own turf, which is why we are backing them to win narrowly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawTigre
53.21% (-1.57 -1.57) 25.83% (0.32 0.32) 20.96% (1.246 1.25)
Both teams to score 44.93% (0.814 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)57.45% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (0.131 0.13)78.25% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (-0.587 -0.59)21.67% (0.585 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (-0.904 -0.9)54.81% (0.901 0.9)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (1.458 1.46)42.63% (-1.462 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (1.218 1.22)78.98% (-1.22 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 53.21%
    Tigre 20.96%
    Draw 25.82%
LanusDrawTigre
1-0 @ 14.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 9.24% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.14% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.134 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.96%

How you voted: Lanus vs Tigre

Lanus
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Tigre
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Tigre
2-3
Lanus
Cardozo (14'), Nardelli (38' pen.)
Maroni (43'), Forclaz (74')
Moreno (30'), Bou (59'), Aguirre (63')
Aguirre (75'), Soler (85')
Oct 27, 2023 1am
Gameweek 10
Lanus
2-1
Tigre
Acosta (39'), Jose Caceres (78')
Perez (54'), Diaz (63'), Pena Biafore (90+4')
Luciatti (87')
Prieto (6'), Rojas (14'), Lopez (42'), Luciatti (63'), Menossi (74')
Apr 2, 2023 1.30am
Sep 3, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 17
Lanus
1-2
Tigre
Acosta (46')
Aude (47'), Boggio (58'), Aguirre (64')
Retegui (3'), Castro (87')
Ortega (29'), Menossi (61')
Mar 1, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 4
Lanus
0-0
Tigre
Demartini (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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