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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Complementacion
Jan 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Defensa y Justicia

Rosario
3 - 0
Defensa

Laso (45+3'), Vecchio (66' pen.), Lo Celso (90+5')
Laso (40'), Vecchio (67'), Rinaudo (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Escalante (45+2'), Gallardo (51'), Cruz Villagra (84')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Complementacion clash between Rosario Central and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawDefensa y Justicia
38.99%26.36%34.64%
Both teams to score 52.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98%26.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95%61.04%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45%28.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66%64.33%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 39%
    Defensa y Justicia 34.64%
    Draw 26.35%
Rosario CentralDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.31%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.64%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2020 10.40pm
Gameweek 21
Defensa
3-0
Rosario
Martin Lucero (7', 29'), Mainero (82')
Cardozo (42'), Botta (45')

Britez (42'), Pereyra (48'), Laso (78')
Sep 18, 2018 1am
Gameweek 5
Rosario
0-1
Defensa

Gil (47'), Bettini (94')
Martinez (74')
Fernandez (37'), Barboza (54'), Togni (94')
rhs 2.0
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