Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Defensa2 - 1America Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and America Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Instituto
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, April 15 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-3 Fluminense
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | America Mineiro |
37.63% ( -0.16) | 26.77% ( 0.01) | 35.6% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
