Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa4 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Defensa y Justicia and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensa 2-0 Colon
Sunday, April 30 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 30 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Fenix
Saturday, April 29 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 29 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
Result | ||
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Penarol |
46.02% ( -0.41) | 25.72% ( 0.23) | 28.27% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.62% ( -0.83) | 51.38% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.8% ( -0.73) | 73.2% ( 0.73) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% ( -0.53) | 22.3% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.23% ( -0.81) | 55.77% ( 0.81) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.31% ( -0.29) | 32.69% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.76% ( -0.33) | 69.24% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Defensa y Justicia 46.02%
Penarol 28.27%
Draw 25.71%
Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 28.27% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:58:08
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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