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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
3 - 0
Lanus

Juarez (20'), Machuca (64'), Aguero (66')
Ignacio Nardoni (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (48'), Cechi (72'), Cabral (73')
Gonzalez (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Union 2-1 Lanus

Both teams head into this match with a defeat in their most recent outing, providing them with plenty of desire in order to get back to winning ways with immediate effect. Union have shown their qualities throughout the season and even though Lanus are in desperate need of points in order to push away from the relegation zone, the hosts should have enough to win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawLanus
44.87% (1.869 1.87) 27.06% (0.363 0.36) 28.07% (-2.241 -2.24)
Both teams to score 48.17% (-2.282 -2.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (-2.351 -2.35)56.65% (2.342 2.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (-1.926 -1.93)77.62% (1.918 1.92)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.119 -0.12)25.14% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.16 -0.16)59.86% (0.15 0.15)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-2.949 -2.95)35.64% (2.941 2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-3.165 -3.17)72.41% (3.155 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Union 44.87%
    Lanus 28.07%
    Draw 27.05%
UnionDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.37% (1.04 1.04)
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.689 0.69)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.306 0.31)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.87%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.96% (0.776 0.78)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.499 -0.5)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 2%
Total : 28.07%

How you voted: Union vs Lanus

Union
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Lanus
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2021 7.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Union
Sand (22')
Thaller (53'), Morel (70')
Canete (86')
Aug 25, 2019 5.15pm
Union
1-2
Lanus
Gomez Andrade (74')
Corvalan (78'), Martinez (81')
Auzqui (28'), Acosta (58')
Auzqui (34'), De La Vega (66')
Mar 16, 2019 6.30pm
Union
3-0
Lanus
Troyansky (1', 14'), Zabala (50')
Pitton (45'), Pitton (85')

Tiago (45'), Quignon (49'), Carrasco (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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