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Arsenal logo
Premier League | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2020 at 7.15pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Arsenal
0 - 3
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 0-1)
Saka (25' og.), Watkins (72', 75')

Preview: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League fixture between Arsenal and Aston Villa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Arsenal head into Sunday's Premier League encounter with Aston Villa looking to build on last weekend's hard-earned victory at Manchester United.

Villa make the trip to the Emirates Stadium sitting ahead of the Gunners on goal difference, despite suffering successive defeats to Leeds United and Southampton.


Match preview

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on September 19, 2020© Reuters

Heading into their fixture at Old Trafford, Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta would have felt the need to produce a statement performance after defeats against fellow rivals Liverpool, Manchester City and Leicester City.

While the Spaniard would have been disappointed with his side's composure in the final third, recording a 1-0 win courtesy of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's penalty was enough to remind critics that they can mount a title challenge this campaign.

Although they sit down in ninth position, having already faced last season's top three away from home should give the Gunners an extra edge later during 2020-21.

However, last week's work will be undone if maximum points are not recorded against Villa, and Aubameyang is under increasing pressure to contribute from open play.

At the other end of the pitch, Arsenal have now conceded just five goals from their last eight matches, a run which has included three clean sheets.

That record will be put to the test at the weekend by a Villa side who have scored 15 times during six matches in the top flight.

Almost half of those strikes came during the 7-2 thrashing of champions Liverpool, but Dean Smith's side have continued to score on a regular basis since the beginning of the campaign.

That said, three of their goals came after going 4-0 down to Southampton last weekend, a scoreline which left Villa having conceded seven goals during a 93-minute spell against the Saints and Leeds.

Despite three of Southampton's goals coming from long-range efforts, Smith will have mixed feelings regarding the character of his backline.

With two of their three Premier League clean sheets this season coming away from Villa Park, this is an opportunity to get back on track ahead of the international break.

Arsenal Premier League form: WLWLLW
Arsenal form (all competitions): LWLWWW

Aston Villa Premier League form: WWWWLL
Aston Villa form (all competitions): WLWWLL


Team News

Arsenal winger Willian pictured on October 21, 2020© Reuters

Arteta could go with the same starting XI from the game against United, a move which would see David Luiz start among the replacements.

However, Nicolas Pepe is pushing for a recall ahead of Willian, who has failed to make an impact since the opening weekend of the season.

Mohamed Elneny is expected to retain his place in midfield after only being used as a substitute in the Europa League.

Villa boss Smith is likely to bring in Trezeguet as a replacement for Bertrand Traore, who went off injured against Southampton.

Goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez will line up against his former club for the first time.

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Holding, Gabriel, Tierney; Bellerin, Thomas, Elneny, Saka; Willian, Lacazette, Aubameyang

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Targett; Luiz, McGinn; Trezeguet, Barkley, Grealish; Watkins


SM words green background

We say: Arsenal 3-1 Aston Villa

With Villa looking increasingly fragile at the back, we can only back Arsenal to prevail in this contest. Although the visitors are capable of breaking down the Gunners backline, the home side should have too much quality at the other end of the pitch.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Aston Villa?

Arsenal
79.7%
Draw
5.9%
Aston Villa
14.4%
118
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David Luiz in action for Arsenal on July 26, 2020
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Tables header RHS
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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