MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 09:25:33| >> :600:32458512:32458512:
Iran national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Education City Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Iran
2 - 1
UAE

Taremi (26', 65')
Moharrami (41'), Kanani (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alghassani (90+3')
Alzaabi (54'), Ibrahim (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Iran and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-1 Iran
Friday, January 19 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Palestine 1-1 UAE
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Iran 1-0 United Arab Emirates

Iran have won their last five meetings with the United Arab Emirates and did not concede a single goal in any of those encounters. Seeing as this is a match for first place and avoiding the host nation next, we expect a sense of urgency from each, but with their most experienced defender suspended, the UAE may have a few more holes in their backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
73.24% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 17.31% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 9.44% (-0.021100000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.85% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (-0.408 -0.41)45.09% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.392 -0.39)67.43% (0.392 0.39)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (-0.124 -0.12)10.82% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.12% (-0.27900000000001 -0.28)34.88% (0.278 0.28)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (-0.31 -0.31)51.95% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (-0.206 -0.21)85.97% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Iran 73.22%
    United Arab Emirates 9.44%
    Draw 17.31%
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
2-0 @ 13.89% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 10.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.31%
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.44%

How you voted: Iran vs UAE

Iran
70.7%
Draw
19.5%
United Arab Emirates
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 2.30pm
Third Round
Iran
1-0
UAE
Taremi (44')
Ezatolahi (23'), Moharrami (38'), Jahanbakhsh (84')
Moharrami (49')

Alzaabi (84'), Ramadan (90+2')
Oct 7, 2021 5.45pm
Third Round
UAE
0-1
Iran

Al Ahbabi (21'), Abdulrahman (74'), Saleh (87')
Taremi (70')
Noorafkan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!