Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-1 Iran
Friday, January 19 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Friday, January 19 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Palestine 1-1 UAE
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Iran 1-0 United Arab Emirates
Iran have won their last five meetings with the United Arab Emirates and did not concede a single goal in any of those encounters. Seeing as this is a match for first place and avoiding the host nation next, we expect a sense of urgency from each, but with their most experienced defender suspended, the UAE may have a few more holes in their backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
73.24% ( -0.06) | 17.31% ( 0.08) | 9.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.85% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
