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Asian Cup
Iran national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Education City Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Iran
2 - 1
UAE

Taremi (26', 65')
Moharrami (41'), Kanani (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alghassani (90+3')
Alzaabi (54'), Ibrahim (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Iran and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iran

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-1 Iran
Friday, January 19 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Palestine 1-1 UAE
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Iran 1-0 United Arab Emirates

 Iran have won their last five meetings with the United Arab Emirates and did not concede a single goal in any of those encounters. Seeing as this is a match for first place and avoiding the host nation next, we expect a sense of urgency from each, but with their most experienced defender suspended, the UAE may have a few more holes in their backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 9.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
73.24% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 17.31% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 9.44% (-0.021100000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.85% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.91% (-0.408 -0.41)45.09% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57% (-0.392 -0.39)67.43% (0.392 0.39)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (-0.124 -0.12)10.82% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.12% (-0.27900000000001 -0.28)34.88% (0.278 0.28)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05% (-0.31 -0.31)51.95% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03% (-0.206 -0.21)85.97% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Iran 73.22%
    United Arab Emirates 9.44%
    Draw 17.31%
IranDrawUnited Arab Emirates
2-0 @ 13.89% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 12.49% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 10.3% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 2.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.31%
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 2.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 9.44%

How you voted: Iran vs UAE

Iran
70.7%
Draw
19.5%
United Arab Emirates
9.8%
41
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 2.30pm
Third Round
Iran
1-0
UAE
Taremi (44')
Ezatolahi (23'), Moharrami (38'), Jahanbakhsh (84')
Moharrami (49')

Alzaabi (84'), Ramadan (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2021 5.45pm
Third Round
UAE
0-1
Iran

Al Ahbabi (21'), Abdulrahman (74'), Saleh (87')
Taremi (70')
Noorafkan (43')
> Preview
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