Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Round of 16

Jan 29, 2024 at 4pm UK

Al Bayt Stadium

Qatar
2 - 1
Palestine

Al Heidos (45+6'), Afif (49' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dabbagh (37')
Seyam (15'), Saleh (48'), Mahajna (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Asian Cup clash between Qatar and Palestine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Qatar 1-0 China
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Palestine

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Hong Kong 0-3 Palestine
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Iran	3	5	9
2	United Arab Emirates	3	1	4
3	Palestine	3	0	4
4	Hong Kong	0	0	0

Qatar looked compact and comfortable at the back throughout the group stage, and we believe they will squeak past a highly motivated Palestinian side who give up their share of scoring opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Palestine
45.48% ( 0)	28.63% ( 0.04)	25.89% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.56% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.94% (

-0.14)

63.06% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.49% (

-0.1)

82.51% (

0.1)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

-0.06)

27.8% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

-0.08)

63.39% (

0.09)

Palestine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.95% (

-0.11)

41.05% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.4% (

-0.1)

77.6% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Qatar 45.47%

Palestine 25.89%

Draw 28.62%

Qatar	Draw	Palestine
1-0 @ 14.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 45.47%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 25.89%