Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2024 at 4pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
Qatar2 - 1Palestine
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 China
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Qatar 1-0 Palestine
Qatar looked compact and comfortable at the back throughout the group stage, and we believe they will squeak past a highly motivated Palestinian side who give up their share of scoring opportunities. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
Result | ||
Qatar | Draw | Palestine |
45.48% ( 0) | 28.63% ( 0.04) | 25.89% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.94% ( -0.14) | 63.06% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.49% ( -0.1) | 82.51% ( 0.1) |
Qatar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( -0.06) | 27.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( -0.08) | 63.39% ( 0.09) |
Palestine Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.95% ( -0.11) | 41.05% ( 0.12) |