Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Khalifa International Stadium

Saudi Arabia
2 - 1
Oman

Ghareeb (78'), Albulayhi (90+6')
Tambakti (13')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Al-Yahyaei (14' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and Oman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Hong Kong
Wednesday, January 10 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Thailand	0	0	0
2	Oman	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0

Oman

All competitions

Last Game: UAE 0-1 Oman
Saturday, January 6 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Thailand	0	0	0
2	Oman	0	0	0
3	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0
4	Kyrgyzstan	0	0	0

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Oman

Starting with perhaps their trickiest test of the group stage, Saudi Arabia could find Oman a tough nut to crack and may have to settle for a draw from their Asian Cup opener. The Reds are set up to contain bigger teams and counter-attack at pace, and that should help them pick up a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Oman had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Oman win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
Saudi Arabia	Draw	Oman
40.36% ( -0.01)	29.84% ( 0.06)	29.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 41.62% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.73% (

-0.19)

65.27% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.92% (

-0.13)

84.08% (

0.13)

Saudi Arabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

-0.1)

31.75% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

-0.12)

68.18% (

0.12)

Oman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99% (

-0.15)

39.01% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.27% (

-0.14)

75.73% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Saudi Arabia 40.36%

Oman 29.8%

Draw 29.83%

Saudi Arabia	Draw	Oman
1-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 40.36%	1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.83%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 29.8%