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Asian Cup
Vietnam national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
Indonesia national football team

Vietnam
0 - 1
Indonesia


Thanh Long Le (83')
Thanh Long Le (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mangkualam (42' pen.)
Arhan (80'), Sayuri (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Vietnam and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vietnam

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Japan 4-2 Vietnam
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Indonesia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Indonesia 1-3 Iraq
Monday, January 15 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Vietnam 2-1 Indonesia

 These sides are relatively equal in terms of quality, but Troussier's major tournament experience could give the Vietnamese a slight edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Indonesia in this match.

Result
VietnamDrawIndonesia
29.59% (-0.193 -0.19) 25.15% (-0.101 -0.1) 45.26% (0.297 0.3)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.236 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7% (0.357 0.36)48.3% (-0.35400000000001 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.56% (0.328 0.33)70.44% (-0.32400000000001 -0.32)
Vietnam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (0.048000000000002 0.05)30.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (0.057000000000002 0.06)66.27% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (0.285 0.28)21.36% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (0.438 0.44)54.33% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Vietnam 29.59%
    Indonesia 45.26%
    Draw 25.14%
VietnamDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.63% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 9.93% (-0.061000000000002 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.95% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 45.26%

How you voted: Vietnam vs Indonesia

Vietnam
77.2%
Draw
8.8%
Indonesia
14.0%
57
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2021 5.45pm
Second Round
Vietnam
4-0
Indonesia
Linh Nguyen (51'), Hai Nguyen (62'), Phuong Nguyen (67'), Thanh Vu (74')
Hai Nguyen (20'), Chung Nguyen (87')

Satriya (15'), Irianto (18'), Argawinata (51'), Arhan (60'), Maulana (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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