Asian Cup

Asian Cup | Group Stage

Jan 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium

Vietnam
0 - 1
Indonesia

Thanh Long Le (83')
Thanh Long Le (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mangkualam (42' pen.)
Arhan (80'), Sayuri (90+10')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Asian Cup clash between Vietnam and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vietnam

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Japan 4-2 Vietnam
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	1	2	3
2	Iraq	1	2	3
3	Vietnam	1	-2	0
4	Indonesia	1	-2	0

Indonesia

All competitions

Asian Cup

Last Game: Indonesia 1-3 Iraq
Monday, January 15 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan	1	2	3
2	Iraq	1	2	3
3	Vietnam	1	-2	0
4	Indonesia	1	-2	0

We said: Vietnam 2-1 Indonesia

These sides are relatively equal in terms of quality, but Troussier's major tournament experience could give the Vietnamese a slight edge in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Indonesia in this match.

Result
Vietnam	Draw	Indonesia
29.59% ( -0.19)	25.15% ( -0.1)	45.26% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 54.95% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.7% (

0.36)

48.3% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.56% (

0.33)

70.44% (

-0.32)

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

0.05)

30.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

0.06)

66.27% (

-0.05)

Indonesia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

0.28)

21.36% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

0.44)

54.33% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Vietnam 29.59%

Indonesia 45.26%

Draw 25.14%

Vietnam	Draw	Indonesia
1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.59%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.26%