Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
Indonesia1 - 3Iraq
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Indonesia 0-5 Iran
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Iraq | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 1 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Indonesia 0-3 Iraq
There is a lot of raw talent on this Indonesian side but not much experience in games of this magnitude, and they could be in for a hard lesson against Iraq. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iraq would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Iraq |
26.97% ( 1.54) | 26.93% ( 0.86) | 46.1% ( -2.4) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( -2.22) | 56.78% ( 2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( -1.82) | 77.72% ( 1.82) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.39% ( 0.09) | 36.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.6% ( 0.09) | 73.4% ( -0.08) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -2.08) | 24.6% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.9% ( -3) | 59.1% ( 3.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Indonesia 26.97%
Iraq 46.1%
Draw 26.93%
| Indonesia | Draw | Iraq |
| 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.97% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.42)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.1% |
How you voted: Indonesia vs Iraq
Indonesia
24.5%Draw
6.1%Iraq
69.4%49
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 2.45pm
Second Round
Iraq
5-1
Indonesia
