MX23RW : Friday, June 28 15:31:13| >> :120:72217:72217:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
UPC-Arena
Atalanta logo

Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Atalanta

Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')
Hierlander (52')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muriel (34', 45+7' pen.)
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta face a tough test in Austria on Thursday, but they have continuously showed their attacking ability across all competitions this term and we fancy them to come out on top in an intriguing encounter with arguably more quality all over the pitch than their hosts possess. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAtalanta BC
40.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.57%34%
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.7%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.94%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64%27.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.82%
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 40.42%
    Atalanta BC 34.01%
    Draw 25.57%
Sturm GrazDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.01%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Atalanta

Sturm Graz
21.8%
Draw
11.5%
Atalanta BC
66.7%
78
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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