MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:33:31| >> :120:11482:11482:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
UPC-Arena
Atalanta logo

Sturm Graz
2 - 2
Atalanta

Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')
Hierlander (52')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muriel (34', 45+7' pen.)
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-1 Hartberg
Saturday, October 21 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Atalanta BC

Atalanta face a tough test in Austria on Thursday, but they have continuously showed their attacking ability across all competitions this term and we fancy them to come out on top in an intriguing encounter with arguably more quality all over the pitch than their hosts possess. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAtalanta BC
40.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.57%34%
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.7%
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.94%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64%27.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.82%
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 40.42%
    Atalanta BC 34.01%
    Draw 25.57%
Sturm GrazDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.51%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.01%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Atalanta

Sturm Graz
21.8%
Draw
11.5%
Atalanta BC
66.7%
78
rhs 2.0
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