Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Slutsk win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.