Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Neman had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.