Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
