Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
