Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 50.59%. A win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Waasland-Beveren win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.