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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Barnsley

Bournemouth
3 - 0
Barnsley

Zemura (8', 82'), Solanke (46')
Billing (23'), Kelly (36'), Lerma (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Helik (60'), Brittain (88'), Moon (90+5')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Barnsley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Last season's two beaten Championship playoff semi-finalists go head to head on Saturday as Bournemouth host Barnsley.

The Cherries look better-placed to mount another promotion push this year and currently sit sixth in the table, while the Tykes are 14th.


Match preview

Bournemouth midfielder Philip Billing celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on August 6, 2021© Reuters

Bournemouth are unbeaten in their first five league games of the season, with two wins and three draws to their name so far.

A 0-0 draw with Hull City a fortnight ago, in which the Cherries dominated the possession and chances, was the first time they had drawn a blank this season after netting twice in each of their first four matches.

Dominic Solanke was denied three times by Matt Ingram at the MKM Stadium, but he will now be supported in attack by Jamal Lowe, who signed from Swansea City on deadline day.

Bournemouth's first two home games have finished as 2-2 draws, against West Bromwich Albion and Blackpool, despite Scott Parker's men taking the lead in both fixtures.

Barnsley's Callum Styles celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Both of Barnsley's two away games so far have also finished as draws, against Cardiff City and Queens Park Rangers, so perhaps the outcome of Saturday's fixture is somewhat inevitable.

Markus Schopp's side also had to settle for just a point on home turf last time out, as they drew 1-1 with Birmingham City.

Callum Styles gave the Tykes an early lead which was cancelled out by Lukas Jutkiewicz before half time, with Schopp suggesting that "we have so many things where we can improve".

Barnsley are only three points behind their hosts and would overtake them in the table with a two-goal victory on Saturday.

The South Yorkshire outfit came from behind to beat Bournemouth 3-2 in their last meeting in March – that was their first victory over the Cherries in seven attempts since 2004.

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Bournemouth form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Barnsley Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D

Barnsley form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

AFC Bournemouth manager Scott Parker reacts after the match on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Bournemouth duo Mark Travers and Philip Billing are both available again after missing the draw with Hull through illness.

Adam Smith is also back in contention having not featured since the opening day and David Brooks should be fit despite withdrawing from the Wales squad due to an injury he picked up at the MKM Stadium.

Deadline-day arrivals Ryan Christie and Jamal Lowe will both be eager to make their debuts, but face tough competition in midfield and attack respectively; Gary Cahill could make his Cherries bow in defence after improving his match fitness.

Barnsley could also hand out a couple of debuts on Saturday, with deadline day loan signing Claudio Gomes in contention to start, as well as Aaron Leya Iseka who has previously been unavailable due to a visa issue.

Liam Kitching is suspended after an incident of violent conduct in the draw with Birmingham, while Jordan Williams, Mads Andersen and Carlton Morris are all injured.

Michal Helik only returned from international duty on Thursday, with Markus Schopp admitting that the centre-back will be assessed ahead of the weekend.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Stacey, Mepham, Cahill, Kelly; Lerma, Billing, Marcondes; Brooks, Solanke, Lowe

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Collins; Sibbick, Helik, Moon; Brittain, Palmer, Benson, Styles; Leya Iseka, Woodrow, Oduor


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 3-1 Barnsley

With injured players returning and new signings bedding in, Bournemouth look set to only improve over the next few weeks. They have struggled for consistency under Parker so far, but we think they will take all three points against a Barnsley side still finding their feet under Schopp.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:462906:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10317:
Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Barnsley

Bournemouth
77.6%
Draw
17.9%
Barnsley
4.5%
67
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