MX23RW : Tuesday, May 13 16:42:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lens logo

Montpellier
0 - 2
Lens


Sainte-Luce (18'), Kouyate (50'), Sagnan (78'), Chotard (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
N'Zola (1'), Nosakhare Agbonifo (61')
Machado (45+6'), Medina (45+7'), Ojediran (90+6')
(26'), Still (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Angers
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lens

Despite an inconsistent season, Lens have been strong on the road, winning four, drawing four and losing just one, with their solid defence playing a key role. Montpellier, however, will be hopeful of securing all three points given their recent form, though their struggles against the visitors could resurface, making victory for the away side the most probable outcome in what should be a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
17.5% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 21.67% (0.052000000000003 0.05) 60.83% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.77% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)68.08% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.29% (0.036000000000001 0.04)39.71% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (0.032 0.03)76.38% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)14.57% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.14 -0.14)42.64% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 17.5%
    Lens 60.82%
    Draw 21.67%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.47% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.46% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.5%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.67%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.89% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 60.82%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC
Draw
Lens
Montpellier HSC
18.9%
Draw
25.3%
Lens
55.8%
95
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 14
Lens
2-0
Montpellier
Labeau (39'), Lecomte (90+1' og.)
Sotoca (79'), Samba (90')

Savanier (43'), Sagnan (71'), Tchato (90+4')
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lens
2-2
Montpellier
Wahi (4'), Machado (45+3')
Maamma (58'), Mincarelli (74')
Khazri (90+5')
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Montpellier
0-0
Lens
Delaye (84'), Ferri (90+3')
Danso (12'), Frankowski (15'), Gradit (90+3')
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lens
1-0
Montpellier
Said (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!