Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 17, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Raimundo Sampaio
Atletico Mineiro1 - 0Botafogo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 3 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Botafogo |
51.74% ( 0.35) | 27.11% ( 0.04) | 21.15% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 41.94% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.5% ( -0.48) | 61.5% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.63% ( -0.36) | 81.36% ( 0.36) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.05) | 24.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.07) | 58.31% ( 0.07) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.22% ( -0.71) | 44.78% ( 0.7) |