MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:57:23| >> :60:9:9:
Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Florencio Sola
Botafogo logo

Defensa
2 - 1
Botafogo

Fernandez (15', 72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bologna (45+3' og.)
Costa (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Defensa y Justicia and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Defensa
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Botafogo

 While the visitors have been excellent this season, their recent away form has been less impressive, with four straight draws in all competitions and failing to score in their last three. We do expect them to get a goal here, but we feel that the hosts will do as they did in the first leg and level proceedings by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.

Result
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBotafogo
48.66% (0.41399999999999 0.41) 27.1% (-0.278 -0.28) 24.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 45.15% (0.609 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.93% (0.848 0.85)59.07% (-0.841 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48% (0.652 0.65)79.52% (-0.645 -0.64)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (0.57600000000001 0.58)24.39% (-0.569 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (0.799 0.8)58.81% (-0.792 -0.79)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (0.359 0.36)40.28% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (0.323 0.32)76.91% (-0.316 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Defensa y Justicia 48.66%
    Botafogo 24.24%
    Draw 27.09%
Defensa y JusticiaDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 48.66%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.83% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 24.24%

How you voted: Defensa vs Botafogo

Defensa y Justicia
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Botafogo
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 11pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Botafogo
1-1
Defensa
Gabriel (56')
Gabriel (29'), Tche (43'), Pedro Galvao de Carvalho (51'), Cuesta (90+3')
Tripichio (78')
Malatini (22')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2019 12.30am
First stage
Defensa
0-3
Botafogo

Castro (28'), Barboza (41'), Tripichio (62'), Fernandez (68')
Lima (53', 75'), Santana (81')
Fernando (21'), Jean (26'), Fernandez (40'), Marcinho (52'), Kieza (63'), Pimpao (66')
Marcinho (68')
Feb 6, 2019 11.30pm
First stage
Botafogo
1-0
Defensa
Lima (94')
Marcinho (6'), Fernando (33'), Carli (60')

Barboza (37'), Martinez (92')
rhs 2.0
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