Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Florencio Sola
Defensa2 - 1Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Defensa
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
We said: Defensa y Justicia 1-1 Botafogo
While the visitors have been excellent this season, their recent away form has been less impressive, with four straight draws in all competitions and failing to score in their last three. We do expect them to get a goal here, but we feel that the hosts will do as they did in the first leg and level proceedings by the final whistle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.66%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Botafogo |
48.66% ( 0.41) | 27.1% ( -0.28) | 24.24% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
