MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:55:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada
Sao Paulo

Athletico PR
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Fernandinho (38')
Linck (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ferreira (33'), Calleri (60')
Zubeldia (14'), Calleri (66'), Rocha (75'), Rato (86'), Ferreira (87')
Zubeldia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, June 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Sao Paulo

Off the back of winning their last two matches, Sao Paulo will head into Wednesday with confidence as they look to leapfrog the home side in the table. However, Paranaense have been rock-solid at home this season and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
48.2% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 26.08% (0.004999999999999 0) 25.72%
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.38% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.76% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)36.36% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)73.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 48.2%
    Sao Paulo 25.72%
    Draw 26.08%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.21%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.2%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.31% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.72%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Sao Paulo

Athletico Paranaense
47.1%
Draw
29.4%
Sao Paulo
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
Athletico PR
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pablo (7')
Moura (57')
Maia (10')
Maia (17'), Erison (24'), Mendes (55'), Luciano (68'), Pires (90+3')
Jun 21, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 11
Sao Paulo
2-1
Athletico PR
Neves (19'), Luciano (47')
Calleri (59'), Neves (85'), Paulista (90+2')
Roque (11')
Santana (44'), Heleno (57')
Jul 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Athletico PR
1-0
Sao Paulo
Bueno (69' pen.)
Fernandinho (80'), Cittadini (84'), Heleno (86')

Luizao (42'), Alves (51'), Nikao (68'), Luciano (85')
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Sao Paulo
4-0
Athletico PR
Calleri (19', 52', 70'), Luciano (74')
Alisson (23')

Henrique (50'), Bueno (57'), Christian (82')
Nov 25, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Sao Paulo
0-0
Athletico PR
Reinaldo (14'), Calleri (29'), Pele (90')
Santos (29'), Marcinho (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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