Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Vasco4 - 1Sao Paulo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 2-0 Vasco
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
We said: Vasco da Gama 0-1 Sao Paulo
While Sao Paulo have struggled for goals and results recently, they should muster enough chances to nick one against a Vasco side with the leakiest rearguard in the Brasileiro, thus seeing the away side extend their undefeated run against their opponents to six matches in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Sao Paulo |
25.22% ( -0.15) | 25.01% ( 0) | 49.77% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
