Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 2Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Goias 1-1 Athletico PR
Tuesday, August 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, August 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Olimpia
Friday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, August 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Fluminense |
45.47% ( -0.03) | 24.83% ( -0) | 29.7% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.14% ( 0.03) | 46.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% ( 0.03) | 69.11% ( -0.03) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% ( -0) | 20.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.75% ( -0) | 53.25% ( 0) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( 0.04) | 29.32% ( -0.04) |