Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Fluminense0 - 0Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Internacional
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 9 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
We said: Fluminense 1-1 Flamengo
As Fluminense are unbeaten at home in this year's Brasileiro, having conceded just four times in seven games, even free-scoring Flamengo will find it tough to break down such a well-organised and motivated side. While Fla boast the league's best attack - scoring at a rate of nearly two goals per game - they may ultimately have to settle for a derby draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fluminense | Draw | Flamengo |
45.48% ( 0.01) | 26.26% ( 0) | 28.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
