Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR1 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-2 America Mineiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, October 25 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, October 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Thursday, October 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Sao Paulo |
48.34% ( 0.2) | 26.01% ( -0.01) | 25.65% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.84% ( -0.1) | 54.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.43% ( -0.08) | 75.57% ( 0.08) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( 0.05) | 22.42% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.05% ( 0.07) | 55.95% ( -0.07) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.71% ( -0.21) | 36.29% ( 0.21) |