Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Oct 8, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR1 - 1Bragantino
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bragantino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coritiba 2-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, October 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Bragantino |
44.14% ( 1.42) | 26.03% ( -0.12) | 29.84% ( -1.29) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% ( -0.02) | 51.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( -0.01) | 73.62% ( 0.02) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.69) | 23.39% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.99) | 57.37% ( -0.98) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% ( -0.92) | 31.78% ( 0.93) |