MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:20:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Oct 18, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Athletico Paranaense

Gremio
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Besozzi (7')
Suarez (44'), Reinaldo (58')
Reinaldo (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapelli (38'), Rocha (90+4')
Canobbio (25'), Santana (53'), Heleno (57'), Esquivel (73'), Cuello (85'), Rocha (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Internacional 3-2 Gremio
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Bragantino
Sunday, October 8 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

 While Gremio boast the third-best home record in Serie A - winning 10 games from 13 so far - Athletico have just three away wins to their name in this year's Brasileiro. Therefore, the hosts can get back to winning ways after their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAthletico Paranaense
53.71% (0.154 0.15) 24.81% (-0.182 -0.18) 21.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.38% (0.548 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.705 0.7)53.24% (-0.707 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.596 0.6)74.8% (-0.598 -0.6)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (0.339 0.34)19.78% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.16% (0.547 0.55)51.84% (-0.54799999999999 -0.55)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (0.428 0.43)39.68% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (0.392 0.39)76.36% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 53.71%
    Athletico Paranaense 21.47%
    Draw 24.81%
GremioDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.079999999999999 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 53.71%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.47%

How you voted: Gremio vs Athletico PR

Gremio
88.6%
Draw
11.4%
Athletico Paranaense
0.0%
35
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Roque (34')
Bueno (55'), Heleno (76')
Cuiabano (31'), Uvini (49')
Adriel (55'), Reinaldo (56'), Henrique (90+6'), Martins (90+8')
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
4-2
Gremio
Rocha (31', 45+1'), Kayzer (55', 61')
Ivaldo (67')
Thiago (59'), Vanderson (84')
Ruan (65'), Borja (66'), Costa (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3'), Sarara (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 3
Gremio
0-1
Athletico PR

Henrique (34'), Thiago (60'), Rafinha (65'), Ferreira (90+6'), Souza (90+7')
Babi (44')
Christian (11'), Babi (50'), Richard (87'), Khellven (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Athletico PR
Thaciano (77')
Mendes (43'), Ferreira (72'), Silva (75')

Nikao (61')
Heleno (90+3')
Oct 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Athletico PR
1-2
Gremio
Eduardo (44')
Nikao (53'), Christian (65'), Vinicius (90+1')
Heleno (56' og.), Ferreira (88')
Everton (29')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926
> Brasileiro Full Table


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