MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:35:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Vasco da Gama

Botafogo
2 - 0
Vasco

Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')
Adryelson (41'), Segovia (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pele (19'), Bambu (19'), Orellano (60'), Rayan (86'), Piton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Magallanes
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, June 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama will be feeling a lot better about themselves following the 1-0 win over Cuiaba, but this is a different test entirely, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
64.93% (0.616 0.62) 21.33% (-0.238 -0.24) 13.74% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 44.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (0.203 0.2)51.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (0.178 0.18)73% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.26700000000001 0.27)15.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (0.501 0.5)43.53% (-0.498 -0.5)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.97% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)48.04% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75% (-0.328 -0.33)83.26% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 64.92%
    Vasco da Gama 13.74%
    Draw 21.33%
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.96% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 64.92%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.74%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Vasco

Botafogo
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Vasco da Gama
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
3-0
Botafogo
Magno (22'), Andrey (78'), Pikachu (90+6' pen.)
Pikachu (90+8')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Fourth Stage
Vasco
0-0
Botafogo
Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')
Sep 17, 2020 11pm
Fourth Stage
Botafogo
1-0
Vasco
Babi (68')
Babi (26'), Honda (77')

Magno (40')
Sep 14, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Botafogo
2-3
Vasco

Forster (15'), Kevin (52')
Catatau (72')
Benitez (7'), Bastos (29')
Oct 17, 2019 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Vasco
2-1
Botafogo
Bruno (8'), Ribamar (18')
Castan (79')
Marcelo (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo27175546252156
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27165644192553
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro259973536-136
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2788113337-432
12JuventudeJuventude2788113137-632
13CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
14Gremio2694132934-531
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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