MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 21:07:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Vasco da Gama

Botafogo
2 - 0
Vasco

Henrique (53'), Alberto (90+5')
Adryelson (41'), Segovia (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pele (19'), Bambu (19'), Orellano (60'), Rayan (86'), Piton (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Magallanes
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Vasco 1-0 Cuiaba
Tuesday, June 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 2-0 Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama will be feeling a lot better about themselves following the 1-0 win over Cuiaba, but this is a different test entirely, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Botafogo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Botafogo.

Result
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
64.93% (0.616 0.62) 21.33% (-0.238 -0.24) 13.74% (-0.376 -0.38)
Both teams to score 44.15% (-0.239 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (0.203 0.2)51.15% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (0.178 0.18)73% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.26700000000001 0.27)15.04% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.47% (0.501 0.5)43.53% (-0.498 -0.5)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.97% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)48.04% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.75% (-0.328 -0.33)83.26% (0.33200000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 64.92%
    Vasco da Gama 13.74%
    Draw 21.33%
BotafogoDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 13.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 12.96% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 6% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.88% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.47% (0.055 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 64.92%
1-1 @ 10.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 13.74%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Vasco

Botafogo
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Vasco da Gama
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2021 11.30pm
Gameweek 29
Vasco
3-0
Botafogo
Magno (22'), Andrey (78'), Pikachu (90+6' pen.)
Pikachu (90+8')
Sep 24, 2020 1.30am
Fourth Stage
Vasco
0-0
Botafogo
Castan (4'), Henrique (31'), Bastos (42'), Andrey (77'), Benitez (84')
Forster (33'), Marcelo (84'), Honda (86')
Sep 17, 2020 11pm
Fourth Stage
Botafogo
1-0
Vasco
Babi (68')
Babi (26'), Honda (77')

Magno (40')
Sep 14, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Botafogo
2-3
Vasco

Forster (15'), Kevin (52')
Catatau (72')
Benitez (7'), Bastos (29')
Oct 17, 2019 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Vasco
2-1
Botafogo
Bruno (8'), Ribamar (18')
Castan (79')
Marcelo (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!