MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:13:06| >> :60:227:227:
Botafogo logo
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 1
Magallanes

Freitas (19')
Sauer (37'), Da Silva (40'), Tiquinho (60'), Adryelson (84')
Freitas (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zapata (80')
Espinoza (43'), Zapata (84'), Vasquez (90')
Espinoza (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Botafogo and Magallanes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cesar Vallejo 3-2 Magallanes
Friday, June 9 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Botafogo 3-0 Magallanes

While unbeaten Botafogo have kept three clean sheets in their last four Copa Sudamericana matches, winless Magallanes have conceded at a rate of more than two goals per game this year. With that in mind, we expect Botafogo to cap off their impressive group-stage campaign by notching a comfortable shutout victory over Magallanes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 70.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 11.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawMagallanes
70.65% (-1.719 -1.72) 18.28% (0.753 0.75) 11.07% (0.973 0.97)
Both teams to score 45.68% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34% (-0.595 -0.59)44.66% (0.602 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98% (-0.578 -0.58)67.03% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.62% (-0.613 -0.61)11.39% (0.62 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.87% (-1.359 -1.36)36.13% (1.365 1.37)
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.55% (1.476 1.48)48.45% (-1.469 -1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (1.046 1.05)83.56% (-1.038 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 70.64%
    Magallanes 11.07%
    Draw 18.28%
BotafogoDrawMagallanes
2-0 @ 13.02% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 9.43% (-0.485 -0.48)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
4-0 @ 5.12% (-0.402 -0.4)
4-1 @ 3.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.083 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.64%
1-1 @ 8.69% (0.364 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.28%
0-1 @ 4% (0.264 0.26)
1-2 @ 3.15% (0.256 0.26)
0-2 @ 1.45% (0.151 0.15)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 11.07%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Magallanes

Botafogo
100%
Draw
0.0%
Magallanes
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Magallanes
2-2
Botafogo
Canales (16'), Contreras (75')
Tiquinho (6'), Eduardo (58')
rhs 2.0
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