MX23RW : Friday, November 22 05:17:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Castelao
Avai

Ceara
1 - 0
Avai

Vinicius (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ventura (45'), Vitinho (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro

Avai

Last Six:
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Ceara 2-1 Avai

 Ceara at home are usually a good bet to come away with something, and when you add to that how poor Avai have been this season along the backline, we expect Vozao to triumph, especially given their consistency at Castelao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawAvai
68.57% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08) 19.79% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 11.64% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 42.83% (0.639 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.611 0.61)49.57% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4% (0.546 0.55)71.6% (-0.547 -0.55)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (0.16499999999999 0.16)13.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.64% (0.33 0.33)40.36% (-0.331 -0.33)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.46% (0.646 0.65)50.54% (-0.645 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.97% (0.436 0.44)85.03% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 68.56%
    Avai 11.64%
    Draw 19.79%
CearaDrawAvai
2-0 @ 13.67% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.065 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.56%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.19% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.64%

How you voted: Ceara vs Avai

Ceara
53.8%
Draw
38.5%
Avai
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Oct 13, 2019 8pm
Ceara
1-0
Avai
Bergson (90')
Fabinho (29')

Barbosa Teixeira (34'), Soares (94'), Paulo (95')
May 28, 2019 12am
Avai
1-2
Ceara
Brenner (44')
Igor (45'), Brenner (56'), Paulo (65'), Lourenco (76')
Galhardo (73', 87')
Carvalho (28'), Bergson (35'), Otavio (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


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