MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:01:33| >> :60:1501:1501:
Ceara
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 12am UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza

Ceara
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Vinicius (61')
Vinicius (7'), Richardson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Romarinho (13'), Felipe (67'), Hercules (76'), Pikachu (83'), Welison (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Ceara and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, July 10 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza

 We expect Ceara to use their home advantage to help them record a morale-boosting victory against their struggling local rivals. However, the hosts may have left themselves with too much work to do in terms of progressing to the quarter-finals, with Fortaleza favourites to hold on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 23.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawFortaleza
52.28% (-0.211 -0.21) 24.56% (-0.084 -0.08) 23.15% (0.295 0.3)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (0.616 0.62)50.57% (-0.617 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (0.541 0.54)72.48% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (0.152 0.15)19.31% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (0.252 0.25)51.07% (-0.253 -0.25)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (0.616 0.62)36.54% (-0.618 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (0.617 0.62)73.33% (-0.619 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 52.28%
    Fortaleza 23.15%
    Draw 24.56%
CearaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.23% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.28%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 23.15%

How you voted: Ceara vs Fortaleza

Ceara
100%
Draw
0.0%
Fortaleza
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2022 12am
Fortaleza
2-0
Ceara
Jun 2, 2022 12.30am
Fortaleza
0-1
Ceara

Ceballos (20'), Lima (27'), Pikachu (57'), Welison (89')
Felipe (20')
Cleber (45+11')
Richard (20'), Richardson (33'), Cleber (45+12'), Lima (55')
Nov 17, 2021 11pm
Fortaleza
0-4
Ceara

Ronald (89'), Marcelo (90+1')
Lima (14'), Vinicius (45+1', 86'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Fabinho (66'), Ricardo (66'), Dias (69'), Mendoza (80')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Ceara
3-1
Fortaleza
Kelvyn (37'), Cleber (81'), Rick (86')
Marlon (55'), Lacerda (90+6')
Tinga (11')
de Vargas (53'), David (60'), Titi (75')
Dec 20, 2020 11.30pm
Fortaleza
0-2
Ceara

Juninho (90+6')
Lima (47'), Cleber (55')
Chu (77')
rhs 2.0
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