It will be difficult for both of these sides to find motivation in their final two games with their relegation already confirmed, which is why it could be a low-scoring affair on Tuesday.
Sport Recife will be able to use their good defensive record to keep another clean sheet this week, and Chapecoense's awful goals conceded stat suggests that the visitors will be able to get on the scoresheet.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sport Recife in this match.
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