America Mineiro
3 - 0
Chapecoense

Ademir (43', 70' pen.), Daniel (59')
Silva (32'), Egea (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ribeiro (34'), Busanello (77')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between America Mineiro and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: America Mineiro 2-0 Chapecoense

Chape do not possess nearly enough quality to compete in Serie A, and that has been evident for quite some time, while America, who finished behind them in the second tier in 2020, are far more intelligent both on and off the ball and deserve to be where they are in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Chapecoense
61.91%	23.43%	14.66%

Both teams to score 40.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82%

57.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96%

78.03%

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82%

18.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84%

49.16%

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.69%

50.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.13%

84.87%

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 61.9%

Chapecoense 14.66%

Draw 23.43%

America Mineiro	Draw	Chapecoense
1-0 @ 15.59% 2-0 @ 13.29% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 5.19% 4-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.83% Total : 61.9%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.43%	0-1 @ 6.28% 1-2 @ 3.68% 0-2 @ 2.16% Other @ 2.55% Total : 14.66%