MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 06:49:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Sao Paulo

Cuiaba
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Clayson (66' pen.), Pitta (78')
Cafu (47'), Marllon (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (90+9')
Diego (30'), Calleri (47'), Luciano (60'), Erison (86'), Maia (90+7')
Junior (60+60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Cuiaba 0-0 Sao Paulo

To this point of the 2023 campaign, Sao Paulo have not played with as much aggression away from home, while Cuiaba have looked fairly comfortable at the back since Oliveira took charge, and we anticipate the home side will hang back and be able to surround their opponents this weekend without leaving a lot of clear-cut opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
33.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 28.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 38.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.98% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.74% (0.011999999999997 0.01)80.26% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)70.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 33.46%
    Sao Paulo 38.08%
    Draw 28.44%
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.08%

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo

Cuiaba
26.5%
Draw
32.4%
Sao Paulo
41.2%
34
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 25
Cuiaba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Deyverson (7' pen.)
Luizao (80')
May 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Sao Paulo
2-1
Cuiaba
Calleri (66' pen.), Nikao (82')
Luciano (45+1'), Gomes (86')
Jenison (33')
Marllon (62')
Cafu (75')
Oct 12, 2021 12am
Gameweek 25
Cuiaba
0-0
Sao Paulo
Cafu (87'), Auremir (90')
Gomes (47'), Marquinhos (90+1')
Jun 23, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Sao Paulo
2-2
Cuiaba
Benitez (18'), Sara (43')
Welington (21')
Gava (23'), Elton (39')
Lucas (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!