MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 23:48:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cuiaba
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Pantanal
Sao Paulo

Cuiaba
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Clayson (66' pen.), Pitta (78')
Cafu (47'), Marllon (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendes (90+9')
Diego (30'), Calleri (47'), Luciano (60'), Erison (86'), Maia (90+7')
Junior (60+60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Cuiaba 0-0 Sao Paulo

To this point of the 2023 campaign, Sao Paulo have not played with as much aggression away from home, while Cuiaba have looked fairly comfortable at the back since Oliveira took charge, and we anticipate the home side will hang back and be able to surround their opponents this weekend without leaving a lot of clear-cut opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
33.46% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 28.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 38.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.28% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.98% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.03% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.74% (0.011999999999997 0.01)80.26% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)70.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Cuiaba 33.46%
    Sao Paulo 38.08%
    Draw 28.44%
CuiabaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.44%
0-1 @ 12.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.08%

How you voted: Cuiaba vs Sao Paulo

Cuiaba
26.5%
Draw
32.4%
Sao Paulo
41.2%
34
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 25
Cuiaba
1-1
Sao Paulo
Deyverson (7' pen.)
Luizao (80')
May 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Sao Paulo
2-1
Cuiaba
Calleri (66' pen.), Nikao (82')
Luciano (45+1'), Gomes (86')
Jenison (33')
Marllon (62')
Cafu (75')
Oct 12, 2021 12am
Gameweek 25
Cuiaba
0-0
Sao Paulo
Cafu (87'), Auremir (90')
Gomes (47'), Marquinhos (90+1')
Jun 23, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Sao Paulo
2-2
Cuiaba
Benitez (18'), Sara (43')
Welington (21')
Gava (23'), Elton (39')
Lucas (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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