Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Clayson (66' pen.), Pitta (78')
Cafu (47'), Marllon (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mendes (90+9')
Diego (30'), Calleri (47'), Luciano (60'), Erison (86'), Maia (90+7')
Junior (60+60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Santos
Sunday, July 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

To this point of the 2023 campaign, Sao Paulo have not played with as much aggression away from home, while Cuiaba have looked fairly comfortable at the back since Oliveira took charge, and we anticipate the home side will hang back and be able to surround their opponents this weekend without leaving a lot of clear-cut opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Sao Paulo
33.46% ( 0.02)	28.45% ( -0)	38.09% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.28% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.98% (

0.02)

60.03% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.74% (

0.01)

80.26% (

-0.01)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.56% (

0.02)

33.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

0.02)

70.07% (

-0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

-0)

30.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33% (

-0)

66.67% (

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 33.46%

Sao Paulo 38.08%

Draw 28.44%

Cuiaba	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.08%