Brasileiro | Gameweek 15

Jul 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
4 - 1
Santos

Calleri (22' pen., 45+1'), David (79'), Pato (88')
Alisson (50'), David (90'), Araujo (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leonardo (90+3' pen.)
Messias (13'), Mendoza (24'), Sandry (35'), Joaquim (70'), Costa E Silva (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-2 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

Top scorers

Santos

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Santos 4-3 Goias
Sunday, July 9 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

With Sao Paulo so strong at home and Santos particularly impotent when playing away, there should be only one outcome at Morumbi. Although the visitors finally managed to find their goalscoring touch last week, they will be unable to cope with a step-up in class on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Santos
65.31% ( -0.01)	22.16% ( 0)	12.53% ( 0)

Both teams to score 38.9% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.47% (

-0.01)

56.53% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.48% (

-0.01)

77.52% (

0.01)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26% (

-0)

16.74% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.34% (

-0.01)

46.66% (

0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.72%

53.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.17% (

-0)

86.82% (

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 65.3%

Santos 12.53%

Draw 22.15%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 15.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 14.24% 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.68% 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 65.3%	1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.15%	0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.53%