Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.05%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.