Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo4 - 0Aucas
FT(HT: 3-0)
Corozo (90')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 2-3 Flamengo
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Aucas 0-0 Nublense
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, June 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
We said: Flamengo 2-0 Aucas
Flamengo showed considerable grit and determination to come out on top of a five-goal thriller on the weekend, meaning they should be confident of easing past their Ecuadorian opponents on Wednesday night. Aucas will have an incentive to be aggressive considering a result could earn them a place in the Sudamericana, but we can envisage a fourth and final loss of the group stage for Farias's charges. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 84.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.66%) and 4-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for an Aucas win it was 0-1 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Aucas |
84.74% ( 0.16) | 10.64% ( -0.1) | 4.62% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 41.06% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.78% ( 0.19) | 32.21% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.18% ( 0.22) | 53.81% ( -0.23) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.62% ( 0.06) | 5.37% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.91% ( 0.18) | 21.08% ( -0.19) |
Aucas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.4% ( -0.09) | 56.6% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.18% ( -0.06) | 88.81% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Flamengo 84.72%
Aucas 4.62%
Draw 10.64%
Flamengo | Draw | Aucas |
2-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.75% Total : 84.72% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 10.64% | 0-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.62% |
How you voted: Flamengo vs Aucas
Flamengo
100%Draw
0.0%Aucas
0.0%8
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 11pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-09-29 20:49:31
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
3 | Arsenal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Chelsea | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
5 | Aston Villa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Fulham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
11 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Bournemouth | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Everton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Southampton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
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