Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.