MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 14:20:56| >> :60:180:180:
Fluminense
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 23, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Cruzeiro

Fluminense
2 - 1
Cruzeiro

Manoel (45+1'), Cano (57')
Arias (15'), Xavier (72'), Andre (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oliveira (45+7')
Ivaldo (30'), Edu (45+2'), Pedrao (75'), Oliveira (86')
Jesus (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Fluminense and Cruzeiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: CRB 1-1 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, August 26 at 8pm in Copa do Brasil

We said: Fluminense 1-1 Cruzeiro

Even though these teams play in opposite divisions, we can expect two tight matches between these sides, who possess plenty of quality in all areas of the field. Cruzeiro have a point to prove that they can be a force to be reckoned with once again, so we expect they will give a talented Fluzao squad all they can handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCruzeiro
47.16% (-0.463 -0.46) 26.39% (0.187 0.19) 26.45% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 48.97% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.523 -0.52)55.07% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.434 -0.43)76.33% (0.434 0.43)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-0.437 -0.44)23.35% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-0.64 -0.64)57.31% (0.641 0.64)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.11% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)72.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 47.16%
    Cruzeiro 26.45%
    Draw 26.39%
FluminenseDrawCruzeiro
1-0 @ 12.26% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.37% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Cruzeiro

Fluminense
60.5%
Draw
14.0%
Cruzeiro
25.6%
43
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 1.30am
Cruzeiro
0-0
Fluminense

Fred (45'), Robinho (55'), Egidio (80'), Mendes (90')

Yuri (45'), Ganso (79'), Fagundes (96')
May 18, 2019 8pm
Fluminense
4-1
Cruzeiro
Nino (44'), Luciano (46'), Pedro (81', 94')
Allan (62'), Luciano (72'), Pedro (95')
Robinho (49')
Rodriguinho (40'), Rocha (68')
Aug 26, 2018 1am
Cruzeiro
2-1
Fluminense
Raniel (14'), Ayrton (73' og.)
Hermes (3'), Dede (44'), Henrique (59'), Romero (90')
Henrique (27' og.)
Gum (14'), Jadson (32'), Ibanez (44')
Apr 22, 2018 8pm
Fluminense
1-0
Cruzeiro
Pedro (49')
Chaves (43'), Pedro (77'), Cesar (88')
Gilberto (15')

De Arrascaeta (69'), Dede (82')
rhs 2.0
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