Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos4 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Santos
Tuesday, September 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-1 Vasco
Tuesday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
42.64% ( 0.68) | 26.86% ( -0.03) | 30.49% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.03% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.08) | 54.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.06) | 76.18% ( 0.07) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.53% ( 0.31) | 25.47% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.69% ( 0.43) | 60.31% ( -0.43) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.5) | 32.87% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.56% ( -0.56) | 69.44% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Santos 42.64%
Vasco da Gama 30.49%
Draw 26.86%
| Santos | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.64% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.49% |
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 8pm
Dec 20, 2020 7pm
