Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Aug 15, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo2 - 1Gremio
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 25.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Gremio |
| 46.64% | 27.42% | 25.94% |
| Both teams to score 45.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
