Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.