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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
27.22% ( -0.19) | 24.35% ( 0.22) | 48.43% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( -1.11) | 46.28% ( 1.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -1.06) | 68.57% ( 1.06) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( -0.72) | 30.82% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% ( -0.86) | 67.09% ( 0.86) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( -0.45) | 19.19% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.13% ( -0.75) | 50.86% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.22% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |