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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
27.22% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 48.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% (![]() | 46.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% (![]() | 68.57% (![]() |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% (![]() | 30.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% (![]() | 67.09% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% (![]() | 19.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.13% (![]() | 50.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | St Pauli |
1-0 @ 6.96% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 27.22% | 1-1 @ 11.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 9.76% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |